Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 2.070300 2.380879 2.726088 3.138920 3.620099 4.164302 4.827955
2025-04-27 1.576519 1.982225 2.478438 3.133012 3.978268 5.038970 6.480343
2025-05-04 1.353604 1.807501 2.399885 3.235838 4.395089 5.960402 8.258657
2025-05-11 1.171012 1.640427 2.285711 3.247285 4.660521 6.687345 9.861126
2025-05-18 1.033164 1.507630 2.189473 3.254378 4.900520 7.389333 11.514819
2025-05-25 0.899587 1.359576 2.046416 3.163760 4.968868 7.827780 12.812291
2025-06-01 0.823187 1.285593 2.001284 3.211225 5.249536 8.624285 14.801415
2025-06-08 0.764664 1.231013 1.977276 3.285056 5.576580 9.533042 17.118106
2025-06-15 0.702247 1.162035 1.920404 3.293693 5.788424 10.265627 19.226234
2025-06-22 0.634572 1.076320 1.825079 3.221832 5.843889 10.719097 20.870326
2025-06-29 0.580142 1.007286 1.750271 3.176034 5.938025 11.251232 22.746605
2025-07-06 0.529232 0.939064 1.669305 3.108165 5.978974 11.681602 24.475986
2025-07-13 0.506378 0.924286 1.692695 3.260198 6.511669 13.250972 29.121828
2025-07-20 0.464133 0.869837 1.638081 3.257241 6.741676 14.261945 32.813594
2025-07-27 0.439723 0.846071 1.638506 3.364337 7.218881 15.886861 38.310092
2025-08-03 0.408026 0.803968 1.596950 3.376282 7.487596 17.088877 43.043134
2025-08-10 0.379474 0.764781 1.556277 3.383680 7.746096 18.312221 48.122159
2025-08-17 0.345096 0.709581 1.475393 3.289171 7.747749 18.907982 51.639785
2025-08-24 0.326290 0.685338 1.458046 3.338673 8.109039 20.480481 58.323176
2025-08-31 0.311252 0.667554 1.452684 3.415677 8.552649 22.354361 66.393224
2025-09-07 0.292638 0.639749 1.421383 3.424686 8.820499 23.801908 73.530357
2025-09-14 0.270181 0.600846 1.360048 3.349736 8.850223 24.584173 78.725793
2025-09-21 0.251552 0.568931 1.311742 3.301972 8.948276 25.587198 84.951516